4 Mental Keys to Mounting Improbable Comebacks

4 Mental Keys to Mounting Improbable Comebacks

Mental Keys to Late-game Comebacks

Summary

Improbable comebacks in sports are rarely driven by luck or blind optimism. They are powered by belief built on preparation, repetition, and past success. When athletes stay present, focus on controllables, and trust the evidence they’ve already created, pressure shifts into opportunity. This article breaks down the four mental keys that allow athletes and teams to mount improbable comebacks — one play at a time.

What does it take to make an improbable comeback when trailing late in a game?

Talent? Sure.
A good game plan? Yes.

But the most significant factor in improbable comebacks is belief.

Not just belief — “I believe we can win” — but belief grounded in evidence.

For example:
“I believe we can come back because we’ve done it before… I believe we can win because we practiced for this moment… I believe we can win because we’ve overcome the odds in the past.”

Too often, athletes trailing by a large margin become consumed by the scoreboard. They start doing mental math instead of focusing on the next possession, play, or shot. Urgency turns into panic, decision-making tightens, and the comeback dies before it ever has a chance to begin.

Teams that pull off improbable comebacks understand that improbable does not mean impossible. Instead of shrinking, they become action-focused. One stop. One quality shot. One disciplined play.

Athletes who believe don’t dwell on early mistakes or potential outcomes. They stay anchored in the current play — the only moment where performance actually exists.

Belief becomes powerful when it is evidence-based. When athletes recall previous comebacks, pressure-filled practices, and moments of resilience, emotions stabilize and focus sharpens. Rather than playing recklessly, they look for opportunities to make positive plays and take calculated risks.

That is the mental recipe for comebacks.

“Pure belief. Belief. That’s all you need,” said Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams after the Bears mounted an improbable comeback during the 2026 NFL playoffs.

Trailing their archrival Green Bay Packers by 18 points, the Bears scored 25 points in the fourth quarter. Williams threw two touchdowns and a two-point conversion in the final 4:18, securing a 31–27 wild-card win — Chicago’s first playoff victory in nearly 15 years and the largest postseason comeback in franchise history.

The Bears believed because they had evidence. They had already won six fourth-quarter comeback games during the regular season, including a victory over Green Bay just three weeks earlier. They didn’t just hope — they had practiced these scenarios repeatedly.

Williams explained:
“To be in those situations and to come out victorious, it’s no fluke. We’ve done it multiple times this year.”

Head coach Ben Johnson reinforced that belief at halftime, reminding the team that comebacks were part of their identity. Instead of “woe is me,” the message became “this is an opportunity.”

Improbable comebacks are not created by wishing harder. They are built through preparation, repetition, and trust in what you’ve already proven you can do.

4 Mental Keys to Mounting Improbable Comebacks

1. Build Belief on Evidence

Belief is not blind optimism. It must be earned. Athletes build belief by recalling previous comebacks, pressure-filled practices, and moments where they have already overcome adversity. Evidence quiets doubt and stabilizes emotions when the moment gets big.

2. Stop Staring at the Scoreboard

Fixating on the deficit creates panic and urgency without direction. The scoreboard is information — not instruction. Lock in on how you can positively impact this possession, this play, this moment.

3. Stay Present

You can’t change earlier mistakes, and replaying them only pulls attention away from what matters. The athletes who mount comebacks stay rooted in the present, where effort, decision-making, and execution still matter.

4. Take Calculated Risks

Comebacks aren’t about playing hero ball. They’re about winning small moments. Trust your role, make disciplined decisions, and take smart risks aligned with preparation. Momentum builds when execution stays clean under pressure.

FAQ – Mounting Comebacks in Your Sport

Q: What causes athletes to fail during comeback attempts?

A: Most comeback attempts fail because athletes become overwhelmed by the score, panic under urgency, or abandon disciplined decision-making in favor of reckless play.

Q: How can athletes build belief during high-pressure moments?

A: Belief is built before competition through repetition, simulated pressure, and reflecting on past successes. In the moment, athletes can anchor to those memories as evidence.

Q: Why is staying present so important during comebacks?

A: Focusing on the present prevents emotional overload. The only play an athlete can influence is the one happening right now.

Q: Can young athletes learn comeback skills?

A: Yes. Teaching athletes to focus on controllables, stay process-oriented, and trust preparation helps develop the mental habits required for future improbable comebacks.


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author avatar
Patrick Cohn Master Mental Performance Coach
Mental Performance Coach Dr. Patrick Cohn has helped athletes for over 30 years enhance their performance. Dr. Cohn earned a master's degree in sports psychology from CSUF and a Ph.D. from the University of Virginia, specializing in Applied Sports Psychology. Today, he is the president and founder of Peak Performance Sports, LLC in Orlando, Florida.

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